After the Deal
So the deal is done. Later on today, Wales will have a Labour/Plaid Cymru Coalition Government running the National Assembly. Yesterday, the Labour Party signed up to this deal by a bigger majority than many of us expected, and Plaid are going through the motions this afternoon. So One Wales it is.
This deal is a very significant event in the development of Welsh politics. If we Tories get it right, Labour's historic tendency to arrogant hegemony will be gone for ever. You can't blame me for wanting to push us into this special moment! I'll post on this aspect of the new arrangements later - probably tomorrow night when I'm back home.
So who's going to be 'in' and who's going to be 'out' of the Cabinet come Tuesday night. I expect Plaid leader, Ieuan Wyn Jones to take a 'core' brief, possibly Finance. I expect Rhodri Glyn Thomas, his deputy to take the 'Culture' brief - he likes an easy life and he could do that job standing on his head after a bottle of wine. The 'Education' part of the current Education and Culture job could emain with Carwyn Jones - be too much work for Rhodri. I still think that Jocelyn Davies could be the third Plaid Minister - but only if its the 'Business Manager' role. Ieuan may prefer to bring Elin Jones in to do the 'Countrtyside' job - and soften the pill for where the main disillusionment in Plaid with the deal is centred. If Elin is in, then I would expect Alun Ffred Jones to be Deputy Minister rather than Jocelyn.
And who's 'out'? It looks like Brian Gibbons to me. Pity, because I like him - but that's the way it goes. I really don't know which current Deputy Minister gets the chop. I had expected Huw Lewis to resign - but perhaps the extra £25 k has helped persuade him to stay inside the tent. I suspect Rhodri will be tempted to leave him there ( direction in which he will be p***ing etc.) Can't see Leighton getting the push so soon after his deserved elevation. So its got to be John Griffiths or Mrs Gwenda Thomas. Sorry John, but my money's on you. Anyway, we'll know by Tuesday night.