Ming Campbell will be gone by Xmas. No longer the slightest doubt about it. I would very much like to be wrong. I quite like to see the Lib Dems down at about 12% in the opinion polls - and thats where they'll stay as long as Ming stays as leader. Its not fair of course, because I reckon Ming is twice the man that either Chris Huhne of Nick Clegg will turn out to be. But he has had Peter Black's 'Black Spot' on him for a while. Its Goodbye Ming.
UPDATE - Monday 6.00. Ming has gone with immediate effect. He did not even make the announcement himself. Vince Cable takes charge.